Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.049040 0.053343 0.057706 0.062454 0.067469 0.072601 0.078242
2025-03-02 0.040766 0.046898 0.053351 0.060621 0.068556 0.076928 0.086402
2025-03-09 0.034873 0.042249 0.050277 0.059602 0.070072 0.081405 0.094539
2025-03-16 0.031863 0.040389 0.049941 0.061323 0.074403 0.088856 0.105923
2025-03-23 0.028972 0.038333 0.049110 0.062256 0.077683 0.095039 0.115869
2025-03-30 0.026441 0.036438 0.048244 0.062958 0.080550 0.100665 0.125152
2025-04-06 0.023810 0.034176 0.046729 0.062705 0.082151 0.104723 0.132565
2025-04-13 0.022376 0.033270 0.046750 0.064208 0.085776 0.111121 0.142720
2025-04-20 0.020157 0.031173 0.045130 0.063553 0.086675 0.114202 0.148904
2025-04-27 0.018609 0.029833 0.044363 0.063868 0.088690 0.118576 0.156615
2025-05-04 0.017572 0.029099 0.044309 0.065032 0.091722 0.124171 0.165809
2025-05-11 0.017015 0.028979 0.045028 0.067171 0.095980 0.131288 0.176900
2025-05-18 0.014818 0.026409 0.042372 0.064836 0.094524 0.131362 0.179441
2025-05-25 0.013362 0.024811 0.040950 0.064059 0.095014 0.133833 0.184938
2025-06-01 0.012139 0.023468 0.039807 0.063590 0.095855 0.136719 0.190950
2025-06-08 0.011804 0.023469 0.040558 0.065713 0.100134 0.144014 0.202560
2025-06-15 0.011214 0.023021 0.040626 0.066868 0.103117 0.149664 0.212129
2025-06-22 0.010581 0.022455 0.040483 0.067700 0.105655 0.154744 0.221002
2025-06-29 0.009725 0.021452 0.039635 0.067484 0.106740 0.157921 0.227447
2025-07-06 0.009389 0.021306 0.040064 0.069094 0.110325 0.164387 0.238156
2025-07-13 0.008536 0.020193 0.038953 0.068419 0.110724 0.166639 0.243421
2025-07-20 0.007978 0.019561 0.038555 0.068759 0.112513 0.170727 0.251077
2025-07-27 0.007652 0.019326 0.038764 0.069988 0.115546 0.176479 0.260928